Foresight Knowledge & Methods 1
Duration
- One Semester or equivalent
Contact hours
- 72 hours
On-campus unit delivery combines face-to-face and digital learning.
Prerequisites
nil
Corequisites
nil
Aims and objectives
This double unit begins the journey of producing defensible futures works meeting the standards of the international academic and applied futures “conversations” and discourses. It introduces students to a grounding of foresight methodologies and the sources of a knowledge base for future studies. The module focusses on the organisational aspects of foresight studies.
Students will be required to undertake a number of tasks that utilise different foresight methods as formative assessments during the course. They will also be required to present these to the group, and undertake one of the methods as a group project. The summative assessment will then be a comparative evaluation of the application of a range of foresight methods within a particular context. Hence the summative assessment builds on and draws from the formative assessments on which they will have received feedback both from the tutors and from the group.
On completion of this unit, students should be able to:
- Critically reflect on real world artefacts using key ideas, concepts, models, procedures, tools, methods, overview
“maps” and literature in the Futures Studies and Foresight disciplinary environment; - Design a scanning approach to meet a strategic need;
- Formulate futures communications appropriate to the different ways in which “mental models” and ways of thinking
make meaning and sense of the world in undertaking futures/foresight activity; - Communicate the results of foresight analysis to a decision maker;
- Create personal possibilities for practical application of futures/foresight in organisational or other contexts from
having developed knowledge and insights in own values and thinking systems; - Critically understand the strengths and weaknesses of a range of foresight tools and be able to design an
organisational process using these. - Apply relevant systems thinking approaches to a contemporary business, community or environmental issue and
report on the findings.
Unit information in detail
- Teaching methods, assessment, general skills outcomes and content.
Teaching methods
This unit of study will be delivered in 4 x 3 day block classes (Thurs-Sat) in Semester 1 each year.
Assessment
Environmental scanning exercise (Individual) Formative.
Causal layered/systems diagrammatic exercise (Individual) Formative.
Analytical methods exercise (Group) Formative.
Assess the application of methods applied to a single foresight issue of choice (Individual) 100%.
Causal layered/systems diagrammatic exercise (Individual) Formative.
Analytical methods exercise (Group) Formative.
Assess the application of methods applied to a single foresight issue of choice (Individual) 100%.
General skills outcomes
Students will also receive feedback on their entrepreneurial skills, their awareness of their environment and their capability in their chosen area.
Content
- The generic foresight process.
- Environmental Scanning and weak signals.
- Core components of the knowledge base of futures studies.
- An overview of methods, tools and a map of the methodological territory.
- Understanding value systems and personal perspectives.
- Input methods; analytical methods; interpretive methods; and prospective methods.
- Systems mapping and diagrammatic techniques.
- Causal analysis and causal mapping.
- Working in and with groups.
Study resources
- Reading materials.
Reading materials
Students are advised to check the unit outline in the relevant teaching period for appropriate textbooks and further reading.